Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In terms of second serve effectiveness, Paul has a slight advantage by winning 45.65% of points compared to Alcaraz's 43.08% over the last six months. Could this offer Paul a slight edge?
• When it comes to returning second serves, Paul again leads with a 47.17% success rate, whereas Alcaraz has managed 43.39%. This indicates Paul's superior skill in this area.
• For first serve returns, Alcaraz is slightly stronger, winning 29% of points compared to Paul's 26.07%, showing a marginal advantage for Alcaraz.
• Both players demonstrate resilience under pressure with breakpoint saves, but Alcaraz holds a slight edge with 53.85% saved compared to Paul's 50.99%.
• Looking at overall performance in the past year, Alcaraz displays a higher winning percentage of 83.54%, in contrast to Paul's 73.13%. Does this indicate an overall stronger performance by Alcaraz?
• Grass is the preferred surface for both players, with Alcaraz showing a dominant 89% win rate compared to Paul's 67%. Could this potentially be a crucial factor?
• Alcaraz has shown higher proficiency in Masters series matches with a 79.17% winning rate, slightly edging over Paul's 76% on the Main tour.
• In their head-to-head history, Alcaraz leads with four wins against Paul's two and has won 11 out of 17 sets they have played. This suggests he might have a psychological advantage over Paul.
• Alcaraz has triumphed in more tiebreaks in their encounters, with three wins compared to Paul's two, highlighting his ability to handle pressure well.
• Facing tougher opponents on average, Alcaraz plays against opponents ranked 51.47, whereas Paul's opponents average a rank of 60.1. This suggests Alcaraz might be better tested against stronger competition.
• In deciding sets over the past year, Alcaraz shows a higher success rate at 72%, compared to Paul's 67%, hinting at Alcaraz's ability to close tight matches.
• Regarding breakpoint conversion, Paul narrowly leads with 33.01%, showcasing a slightly better capability in capitalizing on opportunities compared to Alcaraz's 30.05%.

Editorial Prediction (June 2, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Alcaraz and Paul presents a clash of closely matched talents. Statistically, Paul holds slight advantages in second serve points won and superior ability in returning second serves, aspects critical in match outcomes.

Nevertheless, Alcaraz's overall winning percentage and performance on key stages like tiebreaks and deciding sets could tip the balance in his favor. His superior record on grass and higher success rate against more challenging opponents further bolster his case.

While both players have shown they can compete under pressure, Alcaraz's slight superiority in psychological aspects and past head-to-head results suggests he is poised to emerge victoriously in this match.